What Changed — Semiconductor Data Movements

Recent movements in semiconductor wafer pricing, AI accelerator manufacturing cost, foundry gross margins, foundry capacity, and NRE/mask-set cost, derived daily from an append-only data ledger. Each movement shows direction, magnitude, the two dates compared, and a confidence tier. Public sources only — no proprietary or insider data.

What Changed in Semiconductor Data

Recent movements across wafer pricing, AI accelerator cost, foundry margins, capacity, and NRE — tracked daily from our public-data ledger, every figure with provenance.

Comparing Jul 25, 2026 vs Jun 25, 2026 (35 days of history) ·

Public sources only — no proprietary or insider data

Fab capacity & utilization1

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MetricChangeMove
TSMC CoWoS node ramp56 60 +7.1%

Foundry capacity2

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MetricChangeMove
TSMC N3 annual wafer starts1,890,000 wafers_per_year 2,160,000 wafers_per_year +14.3%
TSMC 28 annual wafer starts1,740,000 wafers_per_year 1,560,000 wafers_per_year -10.3%

Gross margins2

MetricChangeMove
AUTOMOTIVE MCU gross margin57.1% 45% -12.1pp
MAINSTREAM CPU gross margin53% 44.575% -8.4pp

Download the full historical ledger (Pro)

Every figure here is a dated, append-only series. Get the complete history as CSV/JSONL for backtesting and models — join the list and we'll reach out.

Market intelligence behind the moves

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HighPackagingJul 23, 2026

SK Hynix Commits $5.8B to Advanced HBM Packaging Facility; TSMC Confirms 2027 Wafer Price Hikes Up to 10%

SK Hynix packaging CapEx: +$5.8B committed; TSMC mature-node wafer price hike: up to +10% effective 2027; advanced-node pricing direction unquantified but directionally upward per Barchart/TSMC guidance.

HighGeopoliticsJul 21, 2026

China Eyes Export Controls on AI Chips & Models; AMD Helios Rack Enters Market with Azure Deal

Geopolitical: Potential restriction on TSMC fab access for Chinese-designed advanced chips (scope/timing unquantified); AMD Helios: Azure H2 2026 deployment commitment (unit volume undisclosed).

HighMemoryJul 20, 2026

TSMC Commits $100B+ Arizona Expansion, Accelerates 3nm Conversion to Meet AI Chip Surge

Capacity: TSMC U.S. CapEx raised by +$100B incremental; total U.S. commitment reaches ~$265B per Odaily/Reuters; annual CapEx guidance lifted to $60–64B. 5nm-to-3nm fab conversion timeline accelerated (no specific % capacity figure disclosed publicly).

HighPackagingJul 16, 2026

TSMC $265B US CapEx Commitment + ASML 30% EUV Capacity Surge Signal Multi-Year AI Supply Expansion — with Equipment Price Hike Risk

TSMC CapEx: +$100B incremental US commitment (total $265B), 2026 CapEx at high end of $52–56B range; ASML EUV/DUV capacity: +30% per year for 2 years; ASML 2026 revenue guidance raised ~15–19% vs prior midpoint (€38B → €44B midpoint); ASML EUV price hike quantum not yet disclosed — wafer/packaging cost pass-through risk flagged but unquantified.

Recent corrections

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coreweave-h200 · on_demandcloud_pricingannotation on frozen history2026-07-11
3.896.305affected 2026-04-07 → 2026-07-10
coreweave-h100-sxm5 · on_demandcloud_pricingannotation on frozen history2026-07-11
4.766.155affected 2026-04-07 → 2026-07-10
gpu-rental-price-per-tflop:b200-ondemand-median · usd_per_pflop_hrcloud_pricingannotation on frozen history2026-07-11
Q1'26 $0.50 · Q2'26 $0.61Q1'26 $0.96 (CoreWeave $8.60 confirmed) · Q2'26 $0.78 (median of Lambda $5.50, CoreWeave $8.60)affected 2026-07-10
gpu-rental-price-per-tflop:h200-ondemand-median · usd_per_pflop_hrcloud_pricingannotation on frozen history2026-07-11
11.3affected 2026-07-10
gpu-rental-price-per-tflop:h100-ondemand-median · usd_per_pflop_hrcloud_pricingannotation on frozen history2026-07-11
Q4'23 $0.52 · Q2'24 $0.52 · Q4'24 $0.48 · Q1'26 $0.40Q4'23–Q4'24 $1.20 · Q1'26 $1.56 (Q2'26 median unchanged at $1.01)affected 2026-07-10

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Methodology

Every day we freeze the canonical semiconductor cost/pricing data into an append-only ledger. This page compares the most recent snapshot against the closest one ~30 days earlier and surfaces the metrics that moved past a per-dataset significance threshold (filtering out rounding noise).

Each movement shows direction, magnitude (percent for value metrics, percentage-points for rate metrics), the two dates compared, and a confidence tier. The trend column sketches each metric's full ledger history (up to ~90 days). The history is young — the ledger began 2026-06-06, and some domains are tracked from later dates — so a 30-day window automatically clamps to the data available and labels the real lookback, and per-row trends can start on different dates. Underlying values are synthesized from public sources only.

Programmatic access: /api/v1/changes and the get_recent_changes MCP tool. For data provenance and terms, see Terms & Data Provenance.

See current wafer pricing →

300mm wafer prices by node and foundry, with per-row provenance and price ranges.